Market Insight: CS2 Asset Correlation & Growth Analysis
Executive Summary: Market Correlation
This report identifies the relative performance and correlation between key CS2 liquidity drivers: Revolution, Kilowatt, Dreams & Nightmares, and the Sealed Genesis Terminal. By normalizing their price data to a cumulative growth percentage, we can pinpoint leading indicators and market outliers.
Performance Analysis
Global market trends show a high degree of correlation between the newer Kilowatt and Revolution cases, often moving in tandem during liquidity injections. Conversely, the Sealed Genesis Terminal exhibits more institutional-like stability, with lower volatility compared to the speculative nature of item cases.
Individual Asset Deep-Dives
1. Revolution Case Analysis
The Revolution Case remains the primary benchmark for current market liquidity. Its high volume suggests deep trader engagement and sustainable price action.
Yearly Performance Table
| Year | Start Date | End Date | Start Price | End Price | Return (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Feb 10 2023 | Dec 31 2023 | 355.105 ₫ | 15.673 ₫ | -96% |
| 2024 | Jan 01 2024 | Dec 31 2024 | 15.776 ₫ | 13.545 ₫ | -14% |
| 2025 | Jan 01 2025 | Dec 31 2025 | 13.007 ₫ | 10.953 ₫ | -16% |
| 2026 | Jan 01 2026 | Apr 06 2026 | 11.040 ₫ | 13.978 ₫ | +27% |
2. Kilowatt Case Analysis
As a newer entry, Kilowatt is currently in its price-discovery phase. Monitor the volume spikes as they often precede localized volatility breakouts.
Yearly Performance Table
| Year | Start Date | End Date | Start Price | End Price | Return (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Feb 07 2024 | Dec 31 2024 | 376.361 ₫ | 19.919 ₫ | -95% |
| 2025 | Jan 01 2025 | Dec 31 2025 | 18.852 ₫ | 9.168 ₫ | -51% |
| 2026 | Jan 01 2026 | Apr 06 2026 | 9.181 ₫ | 12.382 ₫ | +35% |
3. Dreams & Nightmares Case Analysis
This case represents the mid-tier speculative segment. Its performance is often influenced by broader market sentiment shifts rather than individual asset news.
Yearly Performance Table
| Year | Start Date | End Date | Start Price | End Price | Return (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Jan 21 2022 | Dec 31 2022 | 281.576 ₫ | 14.310 ₫ | -95% |
| 2023 | Jan 01 2023 | Dec 31 2023 | 15.115 ₫ | 27.081 ₫ | +79% |
| 2024 | Jan 01 2024 | Dec 31 2024 | 27.448 ₫ | 46.547 ₫ | +70% |
| 2025 | Jan 01 2025 | Dec 31 2025 | 45.106 ₫ | 48.986 ₫ | +9% |
| 2026 | Jan 01 2026 | Apr 06 2026 | 48.886 ₫ | 59.894 ₫ | +23% |
4. Sealed Genesis Terminal Analysis
The Genesis Terminal acts as a "flight-to-quality" asset. During periods of case volatility, liquidity often rotates into terminals due to their perceived scarcity and lower supply velocity.
Yearly Performance Table
| Year | Start Date | End Date | Start Price | End Price | Return (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sep 16 2025 | Dec 31 2025 | 861.532 ₫ | 11.771 ₫ | -99% |
| 2026 | Jan 01 2026 | Apr 06 2026 | 11.824 ₫ | 11.601 ₫ | -2% |
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